The Impact of Inflation on Mortgage Rates
Understanding the Impact of the Federal Reserve's Decision on Inflation and Mortgage Rates
If you've been following news about inflation or mortgage rates, you might have come across discussions about the recent decision made by the Federal Reserve (the Fed). But what does this decision mean for you, the housing market, and your plans to buy a home? Here's a breakdown of what you need to know.
Inflation and its Effect on the Housing Market
While the Fed is diligently working to mitigate inflation, the latest data indicates that, although there has been some improvement, the inflation rate still exceeds the target of 2%. This played a role in the Fed's recent decision to raise the Federal Funds Rate. Bankrate explains:
"In its ongoing effort to combat inflation, the Federal Reserve has increased interest rates for the 10th consecutive time in its most recent meeting... These rate hikes were implemented to cool down an economy that rebounded strongly from the 2020 recession caused by the coronavirus."
While the Fed's actions don't directly dictate mortgage rates, they do have an impact and contributed to intentionally cooling down the housing market last year.
How Does This Impact You?
During periods of high inflation, your daily expenses tend to rise. You may have already experienced this at the gas pump or the grocery store. By raising the Federal Funds Rate, the Fed is actively trying to lower inflation. If successful, this could potentially lead to lower mortgage rates and increased affordability for homebuyers. This is because high inflation usually corresponds with high mortgage rates. However, as inflation subsides, experts predict that mortgage rates will likely decrease.
Expert Predictions on Mortgage Rates and Inflation Going forward, both inflation and mortgage rates will continue to affect the housing market. Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist at the National Association of Realtors (NAR), states:
"As consumer price inflation eases, mortgage rates are expected to trend lower later in the year."
Mike Fratantoni, Chief Economist at the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA), adds:
"We anticipate that mortgage rates will gradually decline throughout the year as the economy slows down."
While it's impossible to predict with certainty where mortgage rates will go, experts believe that if inflation subsides, mortgage rates will likely follow a downward trend this year. To stay informed about the latest developments, it's essential to connect with a trusted real estate advisor. They stay up-to-date with current market conditions and can help you understand expert projections and how they may impact your homeownership plans.
Don't let the headlines regarding the Fed's recent decision confuse you. The direction of mortgage rates depends on the trajectory of inflation. If inflation cools down, mortgage rates are expected to decrease as a result. Reach out to a real estate advisor to gain expert insights into changes in the housing market and how they may affect you.